moral certainty - meaning and definition. What is moral certainty
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What (who) is moral certainty - definition

CONCEPT OF INTUITIVE PROBABILITY
Virtual certainty

moral certainty         
n. in a criminal trial, the reasonable belief (but falling short of absolute certainty) of the trier of the fact (jury or judge sitting without a jury) that the evidence shows the defendant is guilty. Moral certainty is another way of saying "beyond a reasonable doubt." Since there is no exact measure of certainty it is always somewhat subjective and based on "reasonable" opinions of judge and/or jury. See also: beyond a reasonable doubt verdict
Moral certainty         
Moral certainty is a concept of intuitive probability. It means a very high degree of probability, sufficient for action, but short of absolute or mathematical certainty.
certainly         
BELIEF WITHOUT DOUBT IN PROPOSITIONS THAT ARE IN FACT TRUE
Certain; Certitude; Absolutely certain knowledge; Absolute Certainty; Perfect knowledge; Certainly; Certain knowledge; Positive knowledge; Unequivocally; Epistemic certainty; Objective certainty
Frequency: The word is one of the 1500 most common words in English.
1.
You use certainly to emphasize what you are saying when you are making a statement.
The bombs are almost certainly part of a much bigger conspiracy...
Today's inflation figure is certainly too high...
Certainly, pets can help children develop friendship skills.
= undoubtedly
ADV: ADV with cl/group [emphasis]
2.
You use certainly when you are agreeing with what someone has said.
'In any case you remained friends.'-'Certainly.'...
'You keep out of their way don't you?'-'I certainly do.'
ADV: ADV as reply
3.
You say certainly not when you want to say 'no' in a strong way.
'Perhaps it would be better if I withdrew altogether.'-'Certainly not!'
ADV as reply [emphasis]

Wikipedia

Moral certainty

Moral certainty is a concept of intuitive probability. It means a very high degree of probability, sufficient for action, but short of absolute or mathematical certainty.

Examples of use of moral certainty
1. The Tories‘ abiding belief that taxes are wrong springs from a moral certainty that the state itself does moral harm.
2. Yet such moral certainty is rare, and the authority with which Churchill‘s expressed it is surely rarer still.
3. Unfortunately, its moral certainty is matched only by the lethal vagueness of its proposed new terrorism bill.
4. One of the attractions of Rome used to be its moral certainty – the absolute refusal to temper its argument according to the needs of good public relations.
5. It is governed not by the reductions of moral certainty, nor by the delusions of spiritual redemption, but by a sensibility that is confused, yet full of mischief and kindness.